Our papers are the official record of our discoveries. They allow others to build on and apply our work. Each one is the result of many months of research, so we make a special effort to make our papers clear, inspiring and beautiful, and publish them in leading journals.

  • Date
  • Subject
  • Theme
  • Journal
  • Citations
  • Altmetric
  • SNIP
  • Author
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  • O. GamayunO. Gamayun
  • A. V. KosyakA. V. Kosyak
  • A. OchirovA. Ochirov
  • E. SobkoE. Sobko
  • Y. HeY. He
  • M. BurtsevM. Burtsev
  • M. ReevesM. Reeves
  • I. ShkredovI. Shkredov
  • T. FinkT. Fink
  • F. SheldonF. Sheldon
  • G. CaldarelliG. Caldarelli
  • R. HannamR. Hannam
  • A. EsterovA. Esterov
  • F. CaravelliF. Caravelli
  • A. CoolenA. Coolen
  • O. DahlstenO. Dahlsten
  • A. MozeikaA. Mozeika
  • M. BardosciaM. Bardoscia
  • P. BaruccaP. Barucca
  • M. RowleyM. Rowley
  • I. TeimouriI. Teimouri
  • F. AntenucciF. Antenucci
  • A. ScalaA. Scala
  • R. FarrR. Farr
  • A. ZegaracA. Zegarac
  • S. SebastioS. Sebastio
  • B. BollobásB. Bollobás
  • F. LafondF. Lafond
  • D. FarmerD. Farmer
  • C. PickardC. Pickard
  • T. ReevesT. Reeves
  • J. BlundellJ. Blundell
  • A. GallagherA. Gallagher
  • M. PrzykuckiM. Przykucki
  • P. SmithP. Smith
  • L. PietroneroL. Pietronero
  • How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts

    Technological progress

    FLF. LafondABJBDRRZ... Technological Forecasting and Social Change

    Forecasting technology deployment

    Forecast errors for simple experience curve models facilitate more reliable estimates for the costs of technology deployment.

  • How predictable is technological progress?

    Technological progress

    DFD. FarmerFLF. Lafond Research Policy

    Predicting technological progress

    A formulation of Moore’s law estimates the probability that a given technology will outperform another at a certain point in the future.