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How predictable is technological progress?

A formulation of Moore’s law estimates the probability that a given technology will outperform another at a certain point in the future.

Research Policy 45, 647 (2016)

D. Farmer, F. Lafond

Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"
Image for the paper "How predictable is technological progress?"

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