Our papers are the official record of our discoveries. They allow others to build on and apply our work. Each paper is the result of many months of research, so we make a special effort to make them clear, beautiful and inspirational, and publish them in leading journals.

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  • Resolution of ranking hierarchies in directed networks

    Financial networks

    ELPBP. BaruccaFL PLoS ONE

    Hierarchies in directed networks

    An iterative version of a method to identify hierarchies and rankings of nodes in directed networks can partly overcome its resolution limit.

  • Debunking in a world of tribes

    Network theory

    FZABMVGCG. CaldarelliLS... PLoS ONE

    Debunking in a world of tribes

    When people operate in echo chambers, they focus on information adhering to their system of beliefs. Debunking them is harder than it seems.

  • Distress propagation in complex networks: the case of non-linear DebtRank

    Complex networks, Financial risk

    MBM. BardosciaFCJPGVGCG. Caldarelli PLoS ONE

    Non-linear distress propagation

    Non-linear models of distress propagation in financial networks characterise key regimes where shocks are either amplified or suppressed.

  • Bounds on transient instability for complex ecosystems

    Financial markets

    FCF. CaravelliPS PLoS ONE

    Instability in complex ecosystems

    The community matrix of a complex ecosystem captures the population dynamics of interacting species and transitions to unstable abundances.

  • Financial markets

    PLoS ONE

    News sentiment and price dynamics

    News sentiment analysis and web browsing data are unilluminating alone, but inspected together, predict fluctuations in stock prices.

  • Financial markets

    PLoS ONE

    Effect of Twitter on stock prices

    When the number of tweets about an event peaks, the sentiment of those tweets correlates strongly with abnormal stock market returns.

  • Complex networks

    PLoS ONE

    Collective attention to politics

    Tweet volume is a good indicator of political parties' success in elections when considered over an optimal time window so as to minimise noise.

  • Financial risk

    PLoS ONE

    DebtRank and shock propagation

    A dynamical microscopic theory of instability for financial networks reformulates the DebtRank algorithm in terms of basic accounting principles.

  • Economic complexity

    PLoS ONE

    Dynamics of economic complexity

    Dynamical systems theory predicts the growth potential of countries with heterogeneous patterns of evolution where regression methods fail.

  • Economic complexity

    PLoS ONE

    Taxonomy and economic growth

    Less developed countries have to learn simple capabilities in order to start a stable industrialization and development process.

  • Network theory

    PLoS ONE

    Self-healing complex networks

    The interplay between redundancies and smart reconfiguration protocols can improve the resilience of networked infrastructures to failures.

  • Economic complexity

    PLoS ONE

    Measuring the intangibles

    Coupled non-linear maps extract information about the competitiveness of countries to the complexity of their products from trade data.

  • Economic complexity

    PLoS ONE

    Network analysis of export flows

    Network theory finds unexpected interactions between the number of products a country produces and the number of countries producing each product.

  • Mathematical medicine

    PLoS ONE

    Networks for medical data

    Network analysis of diagnostic data identifies combinations of the key factors which cause Class III malocclusion and how they evolve over time.

  • Financial markets

    PLoS ONE

    Search queries predict stocks

    Analysis of web search queries about a given stock, from the seemingly uncoordinated activity of many users, can anticipate the trading peak.