Our papers are the official record of our discoveries. They allow others to build on and apply our work. Each paper is the result of many months of research, so we make a special effort to make them clear, beautiful and inspirational, and publish them in leading journals.
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Economic complexity
MCATLP
PLoS ONEDynamics of economic complexity
Dynamical systems theory predicts the growth potential of countries with heterogeneous patterns of evolution where regression methods fail.
Economic complexity
AZMCATLP
PLoS ONETaxonomy and economic growth
Less developed countries have to learn simple capabilities in order to start a stable industrialization and development process.
Financial risk
FGMCGPAZLP
Scientific ReportsMemory effects in stock dynamics
The likelihood of stock prices bouncing on specific values increases due to memory effects in the time series data of the price dynamics.
Economic complexity
ATMCGC
AGLP Journal of Economic Dynamics and ControlMetrics for global competitiveness
A new non-monetary metric captures diversification, a dominant effect on the globalised market, and the effective complexity of products.
Economic complexity
Measuring the intangibles
Coupled non-linear maps extract information about the competitiveness of countries to the complexity of their products from trade data.
Economic complexity
Network analysis of export flows
Network theory finds unexpected interactions between the number of products a country produces and the number of countries producing each product.
Economic complexity
Metric for fitness and complexity
A quantitative assessment of the non-monetary advantage of diversification represents a country’s hidden potential for development and growth.