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The mathematical structure of innovation

TFT. FinkITI. Teimouri Arxiv

The mathematical structure of innovation

A theoretical model of recursive innovation suggests that new technologies are recursively built up from new combinations of existing ones.

How much can we influence the rate of innovation?

TFT. FinkMRM. Reeves Science Advances

The rate of innovation

The distribution of product complexity helps explain why some technology sectors tend to exhibit faster innovation rates than others.

How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts

FLF. LafondDFD. FarmerABJBDRRZPM Technological Forecasting and Social Change

How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts

We presented a method to test the accuracy and validity of experience curve forecasts.

How predictable is technological progress?

DFD. FarmerFLF. Lafond Research Policy

How predictable is technological progress?

Predicting the evolution of technology allow us to make better investments and policies.