Our papers are the official record of our discoveries. They allow others to build on and apply our work. Each paper is the result of many months of research, so we make a special effort to make them clear, beautiful and inspirational, and publish them in leading journals.
A theoretical model of recursive innovation suggests that new technologies are recursively built up from new combinations of existing ones.
The distribution of product complexity helps explain why some technology sectors tend to exhibit faster innovation rates than others.
How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts
We presented a method to test the accuracy and validity of experience curve forecasts.
Predicting the evolution of technology allow us to make better investments and policies.