Our papers are the official record of our discoveries. They allow others to build on and apply our work. Each paper is the result of many months of research, so we make a special effort to make them clear, beautiful and inspirational, and publish them in leading journals.
Complex networks model the links between financial institutions and how these channels can transition from diversifying to propagating risk.
Non-linear models of distress propagation in financial networks characterise key regimes where shocks are either amplified or suppressed.
Targeted immunisation policies limit distress propagation and prevent system-wide crises in financial networks according to sandpile models.
Increasing the complexity of the network of contracts between financial institutions decreases the accuracy of estimating systemic risk.
Coupled distribution grids are more vulnerable to a cascading systemic failure but they have larger safe regions within their networks.
Frontier of large cascades evolution of the e-MID market in the period between January 1999 and January 2011.